Closing the Book on Rumors

There were a lot of rumors about who the Heat would be trading with coming down to the February 19th deadline – which we have addressed here in the past.

Interestingly, Ira Winderman laid out some of the last minute scenarios that may have gone down. Glad to see the Vince Carter deal didn’t go through as “half-man, half-lazy” would have been a good thing on paper alone. It would drive me – and probably Dwyane Wade crazy – watching his see-saw game night in and night out as he hoisted up threes one night and started ball-hogging the next.

I still think the Kings scenario, with Brad Miller and Kenny Thomas, would have been a pretty good deal – except they weren’t willing to take on Marcus Banks’ contract. The Heat would have gotten an adequate center, but clearly in Jermaine O’neal they get a more dynamic offensive weapon. The only question is his health.

At any rate, this is a deal the Heat needed to make. The Heat are among the worst in the league in getting production from the center position. When you have a carousel of Jamal Magloire, Joel Anthony and Mark Blount, that is to be expected. And the term “three headed monster” more than likely implies disastrous effects for the Heat than their opposition.

Packing Heat: Trade Deadline Approaches

The February 19th trade deadline approaches and players in other cities find themselves distracted and thinking about the possibilities of moving. Some players can’t help but be a bit distracted about changing their address to Miami, changing their cell phone numbers to the 305 area code. Rather, more like the 786 area code. So who are the players?

Sacramento: Brad Miller

There was once a rumor out there that the Kings were considering moving Brad Miller to Miami for Shawn Marion – but they wanted the Heat to take on the contract of Kenny Thomas. This doesn’t look like a real possibility and in fact, the Spurs are considering making a deal for either Miller of John Salmons, but internally are trying to figure out who helps their big three (Duncan, Parker, Ginobili) more. There is talk about bringing Robert Horry out of retirement in the “Keith Van Horn” move of this season, sending him to the Kings to make a deal work.

Phoenix: Amare Stoudemire

This seems to be a far-fetched idea, but the Bulls and Miami are among the top teams seeking to make a deal for the Suns young PF. Amare is from south Florida, so a return would probably be welcomed. Not to mention, he would give the Heat the 2nd trade in a row where the Suns would send a player to Miami, which brings us to who would the Heat deal. There was a rumor that the Suns wanted Marion back and Beasley, but the Heat said no. There doesn’t seem to be a realistic option at this point without starting with Marion’s contract, which makes me suspect that a third team would be needed. The Bulls just may be the front runner in a possible trade with Phoenix, however, as they have young talent they can deal to Phoenix without having to work out a complicated deal with a third team. The other downside for the Heat in this scenario would be Stoudemire’s contract: he has a player option for the 2010-2011 season which he most likely would exercise as it guarantees him 17.6M. This means the Heat would be more limited in the 2010 market and that is something Riley is not likely to budge on.

Toronto: Jermaine O’neal

This could be an almost straight up deal for Marion except Marion’s 17M contract is about 4-5 M short of O’neal’s current contract. This could easily be overcome as the Heat could toss in Marcus Bank’s contract and he is a quality player that the Raptors could make use of. Yet both teams have little incentive to make a deal as their contracts will come off the books by 2010. For Toronto, they would get a dynamic player without any real health concerns while the Heat get a PF that would help give them more depth in their front court, but serious health concerns may plague a possible deal. To that end, the Heat have been diligent in doing their homework, openly scouting O’neal at games and looking over his medical records. Perhaps a three way deal with Phoenix could see all partners satisfied and help the Heat land Stoudemire. Then again, a deal for O’neal does make sense as he could potential give the Heat the scoring in the post they need as well as interior defense. O’neal also would give the Heat a two year window, with Wade, to get things done and his contract will come off right at the end of the 2010 season – just in time to look at that free agent market. The Heat, however, would have very little flexibility in signing players to shore up the roster during that time span.

The Heat are clearly focused on getting more rebounding and a big man at PF whose game can complement Wade’s. The trick is, Riley will want to keep the salary cap cleared for the 2010 market but at the same time, make this team as competitive as possible to keep Wade hungry and focused on winning. If the Heat have a season like last year, Wade will be out of here by 2010 no matter how much money they throw at him.

Marion’s Value is Dropping?

Just a quick note about things – you mean to tell me that a Shawn Marion for Wally Szcerbiak and Anderson Varejao swap is not a “home run” for the Cavs? According to the Plain Dealer, the Cavs are hesitant to make a trade for Marion which would involve using their asset Wally Szcerbiak because of his expiring contract.

This means that perhaps around the league, their is a perceived de-flation of value going on in regards to Marion. Sure, he isn’t worth $17M a season, but there seems to be a lot of teams taking a step back from the 6’7″ swingman and his versatile skill set. This could mean the Heat sit on Marion’s contract for the duration of the season.

Disgruntled Marbury More Than a Rumor?

The Nuggets and Pistons pulled off what seems to be a shocking trade in exchanging Allen Iverson for Chauncey Billups and Antonio McDyess. But could this be the beginning of some major trades?

The New York Post is reporting that GM Donnie Walsh is weighing his options with Stephon Marbury. The basic options left are a buyout vs. waiving him outright. If the Knicks are looking to save some money, they will waive Marbury – and both the Nuggets and Heat are listed as potential targets. Is the Iverson trade an indication of where things stand in NYC? Or is it the Nuggets saying ‘we’re out’ and moving on – leaving the Heat as the only team left with interest.

In either case, stay tuned. If the Heat add Marbury, they would have to waive someone of their own and still find a way to squeeze Marbury onto their payroll. Then there is figuring out where would Marbury play…would he start or come off the bench?

Jason Williams Signs with Clippers; Shaun Livingston a Heat Possibility?

Jason Williams signed with the Los Angeles Clippers, following two-time ex-Heater Ricky Davis, another franchise undergoing major changes. Williams, it seems will vie with Jason Hart to be the backup to Baron Davis in LA; in Miami he would have been a third stringer at best.

Jason Williams’ departure now leaves only Udonis Haslem and Dwyane Wade as the lone members from the 2006 championship team.

In JWill, the Heat had a tremendously smart and savy point guard but it was his chronic knee tendonitis that cost him his minutes and ultimately his security with the Heat. The Heat now have two point guards, Marcus Banks and Mario Chalmers, that will contend for the starting spot while a third, Chris Quinn, is weighing his options. He might also be on his way out, however.

This also creates an intriguing situation for the Heat. The Clippers are now expected to part ways with point guard Shaun Livingston, who suffered a horrible knee injury two seasons ago that almost cost him his career. Livingston is currently pushing through rehab, and although he may not be ready for the grind of 82 games this upcoming season, it could be possible that he could contribute while working his way back.

Livingston is currently playing basketball again and is working on his rehab with Tim Grover in Chicago with several other NBA players. According to him, he has garnered interest from 10-12 teams. Perhaps the Miami Heat is one of them, and it would be a perfect risk for the Heat as they look to rebuild. Adding Livingston would be an interesting project and since the Clippers were unable to come to terms on a deal with him, and instead signed Jason Williams, it could be a perfect place for Livingston to start over.

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