Heat Run DLC Win 7th Straight

What now?

Sure, the bulk of this 7 game win streak is against sub-par teams. A quality win by 10+ points over the Jazz, in Salt Lake, though would say otherwise. Is this Heat team playing its best basketball of the season? Yes. Can it get better? Yes.

And that is a scary thought.

This team is still finding its comfort zone. Right now the offense is predicated on either Wade or Lebron having the ball and letting them do their thing. Slowly, however, we are starting to see everyone carve out their roles and getting comfortable. Arroyo is knocking down threes at over 50% efficiency. We have seen James Jones benefiting from Wade and Lebron’s presence, too. This is all obvious. What we are waiting for now is the evolution of this offense – like Bosh catching the ball on the right elbow, facing his man, and driving to the hoop. We know Bosh can score, the question is how. He still has a very weak post game but he plays offense more like a small forward than a power forward – he’s always been that way.

Mario Chalmers is carving out a niche as a defensive answer for his position while also getting hot offensively and knocking down threes. The question is, can he avoid being inconsistent as at times he makes boneheaded plays right after brilliant ones.

The injury to Udonis Haslem leaves this team with a huge void to fill, but Juwan Howard is filling in admirably, playing smart basketball to compliment Wade and Lebron’s game. Erick Dampier has added physical toughness and rebounding to the Heat’s frontcourt which has also helped ease the loss of Haslem.

Things are starting to click, but they are still not quite at optimum level. This road trip and this win streak is really an opportunity for this Heat team to experience being the villain on the road, and responding to adversity as a team. Pat Riley couldn’t have designed this situation any better himself. Erik Spoelstra has managed to climb out of the hole he was being pushed into. His team is winning and they are putting a mask on their wins that makes it look like this team is coming along. A close analysis would reveal that this team is still working out the kinks, but they are moving in the right direction.

Spoelstra’s biggest challenge was never going to be the strategical side of coaching, or even getting his players prepared. For him, it was always going to be about how he managed his personalities, how he managed the people behind those black jerseys. This game, at the professional level, is less about coaching and more about managing people. We discussed this earlier as Phil Jackson provides a pretty good model of a professional coach – not focused so much on strategy, but on managing egos. You simply create the matchups, put the players in positions to succeed, and get out of the way. Spoelstra is managing to do that and with every win, he further solidifies his place on the bench.

So, the Heat beat the Golden State Warriors and show that their offense can outrun anyone. Sure, the Warriors are that classic Western conference team where they will try to outscore you, but they also have made strides to play better defense under coach Keith Smart. That said, the Heat demonstrated again last night that their offense is predicated on their defensive focus, holding the Warriors to 84 points on 37.3% shooting. Most of the Warriors’ shots came from outside the painted area, which is another testament to the Heat’s defensive focus trying to deny easy scores inside. By contrast, the Heat managed to score 106 points while shooting 52.6% – most of those easy scores in transition. Getting into the painted area almost at will not only gets a higher percentage shot, but with strong finishers like Wade and Lebron you will increase your free throw attempts. FTA’s allow the Heat to score without taking time off the clock – which means the leads grow with very little chance to answer them.

The Heat will have an opportunity to show their focus again while venturing to Sacramento for tonight’s game. Yes, this is a “trap” game, but it will also serve as a test to see if the Heat are starting to take each game serious every night out and whether or not they are rounding into that professional team they need to be in order to go deep into the playoffs. They are still a work in progress, but the ceiling is so much higher at this point than it was just 7 games ago.

Quentin Richardson Comes to Miami

Q Dog? Really?

Miami just changed its offseason fortunes a bit by dealing center Mark Blount to the Timberwolves for Quentin Richardson, who has been shuffled around so much the guy must be dizzy.

Both Blount and Richardson are in the final year of their contracts, so financially this fits into the scheme of things Pat Riley is trying to do – keep it financially flexible for next year’s offseason. Blount was scheduled to make 7.9M this season while Richardson is due 9.4M. For Blount it is a return to the Timberwolves, the team the Heat originally acquired him from (along with Ricky Davis) before the 2007-2008 season for Antoine Walker, Michael Doleac, Wayne Simien and a first round pick. The debate on whether or not that deal worked out rages on.

It was the 4th time Richardson has been dealt this offseason – from the Knicks to the Grizzlies, to the Clippers and then the Timberwolves. The Heat, however, seem bent on keeping Richardson for the duration of the season:

“We are very excited to add Quentin Richardson,” Heat President Pat Riley said. “Over the course of his career, he has proven to be a fierce competitor, a great locker-room presence and a very prolific three-point shooter who may be one of the strongest perimeter players in the NBA. We feel that he will be able to match up well against the top scorers in the league.”

Richardson has been eyed by the Heat brass for some time now, actually. His ability to score is going to offer the Heat more punch, but where exactly he will fit remains to be seen. Richardson can play SG or SF, and will offer some depth to the Heat’s options of Dwyane Wade and Daequan Cook. Cook’s minutes seem to be potentially the most impacted of all here and with the Heat losing Jamario Moon to the Cavs, the depth at SF just regained itself a bit with Richardson adding to the rotation of Dorell Wright, James Jones, Yakhouba Diawara and an occasional appearance from Michael Beasley.

Fallout From Failed Odom Signing Could Prove Crucial For Heat Future

Now, there is a saying that there is no such thing as a must win game. Well, for the Heat, this might be a crucial offseason looking like a must win situation. The pressure may now have shifted to Pat Riley as well, who is faced with paying luxury taxes on a team that got into the playoffs last year and is faced with proving itself a good fit for Dwyane Wade’s future as he looks forward to next offseason’s big boon.

Let’s look at the Heat’s situation – they just failed in their attempt at signing Odom to the mid-level exception. It was a gamble, sure, but it didn’t work out. Heat fans might feel reminded of the Mo Williams sweepstakes just over a few seasons ago. The Heat also let Jamario Moon walk without getting any compensation. Perhaps it was overlooked by the Heat’s attempt to land Odom, but that would be too simplistic. If the Heat re-signed Moon they would be faced with paying double – since they are currently over the league’s $69.9 million dollar luxury tax line.

Could Tinsley be in Miami next season?The Heat have several options on the table. They are reportedly looking at Jamaal Tinsley, who would be an affordable addition to the Heat’s roster as he would provide a veteran point guard at roughly $1 million – which raises the total cost to $2M when considering the luxury tax penalty. He would compete with Mario Chalmers for the starting spot and provide more depth. Milwaukee Bucks restricted free agent Ramon Sessions remains available, but reports are that the Knicks are leaning towards extending him an offer which means the Heat’s chances to nabbing Tinsley increase.

There are other free agents that could help as well. A major need for the Heat is rebounding and Memphis has let Hakim Warrick dangle out in the free agent jetstream. The Cavs have apparently extended an offer so it isn’t certain at this time that Miami is even in the conversation. A major hurdle for Miami is the luxury tax, so if Miami is to add another player it is most likely going to be a bargain basement deal so they take a minimal hit.

There is also the Carlos Boozer situation, which has cooled substantially. Don’t expect the Heat to make a deal but then again, this is precisely when Pat Riley usually shocks people with getting a deal. The Heat have tons of contracts that are expiring after this season – the Heat would just have to be willing to take back money in return. If the Heat want to sign a player, they have to free up money. If they want to trade for another player, they have these expiring contracts which would look good to teams like the Utah Jazz – who has the highest payroll in the NBA and paying a lot in luxury tax, around $20M. Who are the expiring contracts for the Heat?

  • Jermaine O’neal $22.9M
  • Mark Blount $7.9M
  • Udonis Haslem $7.1M
  • Dorell Wright $2.75M
  • Jamaal Magliore $1.2M (re-signed for this upcoming season)
  • Chris Quinn $1.05M (re-signed for this upcoming season)
  • Yakhouba Diawara $945K
  • Joel Anthony $825K (re-signed for this upcoming season)

In order for the Heat to deal these contracts, the situation would have to be deemed an improvement for Pat Riley. That means not taking on any salary that would limit the Heat’s financial flexibility for the upcoming offseason. The Heat’s goal is to re-sign Wade to a long term deal as well as add a potential marquee free agent like a Chris Bosh or, even dare, Lebron James.

Yet right now, the Heat has to shift its focus to this offseason and the upcoming season otherwise, they may have a hard time convincing anyone to come to South Beach to play basketball.

Tell us what you think – discuss the Heat’s next move on our forum.

Heat Offer Contracts to Quinn, Powell and Wright

The Miami Heat extended contracts for qualifying offers to point guard Chris Quinn, forward Kasib Powell and forward Dorell Wright.

This moves means that the Heat can match any offer when free agency begins July 1st. Quinn, Powell and Wright have the right to accept the Heat’s offers for their 2008-2009 salaries if no other team surpasses those offers.

For Wright, the qualifying offer is about $2.4 million while for Quinn and Powell the qualifying offers remain around the league minimum. Should a team offer contracts that give a significant jump, the Heat have the right to match the deal but may not do so depending on their situation after the draft is over and looking ahead to the big free agent summer of 2010.

It has always been Pat Riley’s modus operandi to keep the Heat financially flexible in anticipation of Dwyane Wade’s free agent status as well as to possibly land a few big catches that summer like LeBron James or Chris Bosh.

In Kasib Powell, the Heat have a capable perimeter defender and hard-nosed player they missed when James Posey left for Boston. They also now have 2 D League players on their roster with Stephane Lasme holding a conditional contract heading into next season. It also gives the Heat the freedom to explore other options at PG if they are not able to find something in the draft. Quinn could be retained to add depth if no other team snatches him up with a better deal, of course.

Draft Presents More Deal Scenarios for Miami Heat

The Miami Heat are in an interesting quandry. Should they draft Michael Beasley if he is available with the 2nd pick? Or should they trade down and scoop up someone with more value?

If Rose is available it seems clear that Miami would take him right away.

This is the basic question Miami is asking itself going into their 7:40 pm slot to make their pick on this Thursday. Should Miami take Beasley, they will give themselves a very good prospect that is going to come into the league and be ready to make an impact right away. They will have themselves another front court player that can shoot, score and block shots. Currently, Shawn Marion fits that role and the Heat hope to see more from Dorrell Wright as well this season.

Yet, there are many who seem to think Miami will not take Beasley, but intensely question his work ethic and maturity. With such a high pick, the feeling is it has to be a lock for Miami. If there are doubts, they could trade down, risk passing on Beasley but instead get more known quantities in a deal.

Rumor Volat

Rumor does fly, especially on the internet. There are rumors circulating that the Heat are in talks with the Memphis Grizzlies about a possible deal that would net the Heat Mike Miller, Kyle Lowry and the #5 pick for the #2 pick, clearly as part of a package deal. There are even discussions that the Heat are trying to get Conley from the Grizzlies and that the Heat would throw in Daequan Cook.

Another possibility finds the Heat dealing with the NY Knicks, there one-time rivals. The deal would be something akin to the Knicks sending Stephon Marbury and the 6th pick overall to Miami for Shawn Marion and Mark Blount. This would give the Heat the #2 and #6 picks in the draft and there are rumblings of the Heat being very interested in Brook Lopez, Jerryd Bayless, Kevin Love and even OJ Mayo.

Then there is the Seattle possibility which is the Sonics will send Chris Wilcox and the #4 pick for the #2 and Mark Blount.

Yet there are many on the inside who think the Heat are over-analyzing this situation. The best player almost unanimously is Michael Beasley. If he does have some perceived maturity issues, it could be just a part of the fact that he is practically fresh out of high school. And as a protected jock that hasn’t had to do anything other than play basketball, his view of reality is going to be a little screwy. You don’t miss the boat on that kind of talent unless you get some serious value in return. Besides, what better way to drive down his value than to find some kind of kink in his talent and push the perceived value of Rose up. This makes Chicago all but challenged to not draft Rose and have Beasley fall to Miami.

Drafting Beasley remains the best option for Miami. They can still always work out a deal if they felt they needed to thin out the front court depth of Beasley, Marion, Haslem and Wright. In fact, that process has already begun a bit with the Heat releasing Alexander Johnson today.

Pat needs this team to stand pat. They should draft the #2 spot and hope it is Beasley that is available because he will make a better fit with Wade and will make an immediate impact while Rose has to learn the finer points of running an offense in the NBA. Not to mention, Beasley would make the Heat need Marion that much less which would drive up his value even more.

If the Heat can swing a deal for another draft pick in this draft, that would be a solid choice but not at the expense of Dwyane Wade, Daequan Cook (unless it was really high) or the #2 pick.

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